DM: Prevention of Type 2 Diabetes (2007)

Citation:
 
Study Design:
Class:
- Click here for explanation of classification scheme.
Quality Rating:
Research Purpose:
To assess prospectively whether rosiglitazone together with lifestyle recommendations can reduce the frequency of diabetes in individuals with impaired fasting glucose or glucose intolerance, or both.
Inclusion Criteria:

Initial inclusion criteria (in 2001) included:

  • either impaired fasting glucose (fasting plasma glucose concentration >6.1 mmol/L and <7.0 mmol/L and two hour plasma glucose concentration <11.1 mmol/L during the oral glucose tolerance test) or impaired glucose tolerance (fasting plasma glucose concentration <7.0 mmol/L and two hour plasma concentration >7.8 mmol/L and <11.1 mmol/L)
  • aged 30 years or more

Inclusion criteria expanded in 2003 to also include individuals with isolated impaired fasting glucose (fasting glucose concentration >6.1 mmol/L and <7.0 mmol/L and two hour plasma glucose concentration <7.8 mmol/L to broaden the generalizability of the study

 

Exclusion Criteria:
  • history of diabetes (except gestational diabetes)
  • history of cardiovascular disease (including heart failure and low ejection fraction)
  • intolerance to either angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or thiazolidinediones
Description of Study Protocol:

Recruitment recruited from 191 sites in 21 countries; details previously published

Design randomized blinded controlled trial

Blinding used (if applicable)  a 17-day single-blind placebo run-in was utilized for eligibilty; prospective study double blinded  

Intervention (if applicable)

After a 17 day single-blind placebo run-in period for eligibility (consumption of at least 80% of run-in medication required); patients were randomly assigned (stratified by site) to receive either rosiglitazone (four mg once daily for the first two months and then eight mg once daily) or placebo and were followed for a median of three years (range 2.5 to 4.7 years). Participants attended visits two and six months after randomization and every six months thereafter.   

At all visits, all participants were provided with advice by the research staff about healthy diets and lifestyle habits to reduce diabetes.

Statistical Analysis

Analyses were done by intent to treat.

Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the effect of rosiglitazone on the primary outcome (incident diabetes or death from any other cause).

Calculation of median fasting and two hour glucose concentrations at every scheduled measurement time was done to assess the effect of study drug on glucose concentrations.

ANOVA (with adjustment for the baseline value) was used to assess differences between groups in the mean change in ALT after one year, in systolic and diastolic blood pressure from the beginning to end of study, and the slope of change in body mass index, weight, waist-to-hip ratio, and waist and hip circumference during the course of the study.

Significance was established as P<0.05.

 

Data Collection Summary:

Timing of Measurements

Laboratory

A 75 g oral glucose tolerance test with local fasting and two hour plasma glucose concentration measurement was done after two years and final visit. At other yearly visits, local fasting plasma glucose and glycated hemoglobin concentrations were measured.

If at any visit the fasting plasma glucose concentration was 7.0 mmol/L or greater or the twp hour plasma glucose concentration was 11.1 mmol/L or greater (suggesting possible diabetes), an oral glucose tolerance test was scheduled within the next three months to confirm or refute the diagnosis.

Participants had local measurements of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) concentrations every two months during the first year; subsequent measurements were done at the discretion of the site physician.

Blood pressure was measured at two months, six months, 12 months, and yearly until end of study.

Anthropometrics

Weight, waist and hip circumference measurements (protocol not described) at baseline, after two years, and at the end of the study.

Dependent Variables

Primary:

  •  incident diabetes--diagnosed if 1) on a visit the fasting plasma glucose was 7.0 mmol/L or greater or the two hour plasma glucose concentration was 11.1 mmol/L or greater during a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test and confirmed by a second test within the next three months; 2) a single test was consistent with diabetes; or 3) a physician diagnosed diabetes outside the study and the diagnosis was confimed by the prescription of an antidiabetic agent.
  • death from any cause

Secondary: 

  • cardiovascular events
  • regression to normal fasting and two hour post-load glucose concentrations (normoglycemic)

Independent Variables

  • Rosiglitazone or placebo group

Control Variables

 

Description of Actual Data Sample:

Initial N: Baseline--5269 (59.2 percent women); Rosiglitazone group--N=2335 (58.3 percent women); Placebo--N=2634 (60.1 percent women)

Attrition (final N): 59 dropped out of rosiglitazone group (2.53 percent); 46 (1.75 percent) dropped out of placebo group

Age: Group mean age--54.7±10. years; mean age Rosglitazone group--56.4±10.9 years; mean age Placebo group--56.8±10.9 years

Ethnicity: not specifically discussed; but indicated that various ethnic groups were included in the study

Other relevant demographics:

 Baseline Clinical and Medical history

Variable Rosiglitazone Placebo
Isolated IGT 1504 (57.1 percent) 1524 (57.9 percent)
Isolated IFG 369 (14.0 percent) 370 (14.1 percent)
Both IGT and IFG  762 (28.9 percent)  740 (28.1 percent)
Mean fasting glucose (mmol/L)  5.8±0.7  5.8±0.7
Mean two hour plasma glucose (mmol/L)  8.7±1.4  8.7±0.5
Left venticular hypertrophy on ECG  118±4.5  129±4.9
History of hypertension  1159 (44.0 percent)  1132 (43.0 percent)

 Anthropometrics

Measurement Rosiglitazone Placebo
Weight (kg)  84.8±19.0  85.0±18.9
Body mass index (BMI)  30.8±5.6  31.0±5.6
waist/hip ratio male  0.96±0.07  0.96±0.07
waist/hip ratio female  0.86±0.07  0.87±0.09
waist male (cm)  101±14  102±13
waist female (cm)  96±14  96±14
Systolic blood pressure  135.9±17.9  136.3±18.8
Diastolic blood pressure  83.3±10.6  83.5±10.9

Location: 191 sites in 21 countries

Geographic Distribution Rosiglitazone Placebo
North America 1082 (41.1 percent) 1067 (40.5 percent)
South America             564 (21.4 percent) 571 (21.7 percent)
Europe  549 (20.8 percent)  555 (21.1 percent)
India  330 (12.5 percent)  332 (12.6 percent)
Australia  110 (4.2 percent)  108 (4.1 percent)

Summary of Results:

 During the trial:

  • 992 (18.8 percent) experienced the primary outcome; 63 (1.2 percent) died and 938 (17.8 percent) developed diabetes.
  • In surviving participants, adherence to study drug (at least 80 percent adherent) was 71.7 percent (n=1868) in the rosiglitazone group and 75.1 percent (n=1952) in the placebo group. 752 (28.8 percent) and 641 (25.3 percent) stopped taking assigned treatment at any point during study; 602 (23.6 percent) in the rosiglitazone group and 517 (20.2 percent) in the placebo group were not taking allotted drug at their last visit.
  • Reasons for stopping rosiglizone and placebo included participant refusal (503 [18.9 percent] in the rosiglitazone group) and 439 [16.7 percent] in the placebo group), edema (439 [4.8 percent] and 41 [1.6 percent]), physician's advice (50 [1.9 percent] and 39 [1.5 percent]), and weight gain (50 [1.5 percent] and 15 [0.6 percent)]. One patient in the rosiglizone and three in the placebo group stopped because of hypoglycemia.

 

Variables

Rosiglitazone group

Measures and percent

Placebo group

Measures and percent

Statistical Significance of Group Difference

Composite Primary Outcome

306 (11.6 percent)

 686 (26.0 percent)

hazard ratio 0.40; P<0.0001

  Diabetes

 280 (10.6 percent)

 658 (25.0 percent)

 <0.0001

  Death 30 (1.1 percent) 33 (3.3 percent) 0.7
Normoglycemic 1330 (50.5 percent) 798 (30.3 percent) 0.0001

Cardiovascular events composite

 75(2.9 percent)

 55(2.2 percent)

0.08

  Myocardial infarction,  stroke, or cardiovascular death  32(2.2 percent)  33(0.9 percent)  0.3
   Heart failure  14(0.5 percent)  2(0.1)  0.01

 

Other Findings

  • Mean hepatic ALT concentrations during the first year of therapy were 4.2 U/L lower in patients treated with rosiglitazone than in the placebo group (P<0.0001).
  • The effect of rosiglitazone was not significantly different in different areas of the world, in both sexes, and across all ages.

 

Author Conclusion:

This large prospective, blinded international clinical trial showed that the addition of eight mg of rosiglitazone daily to basic lifestyle recommendations, substantially reduced the risk of diabetes or death by about two thirds in individuals at high risk of diabetes. Moreover, rosiglitazone significantly increased the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia by about 70-80 percent compared with placebo.

A consistent reduction in the primary outcome was noted in people with impaired fasting glucose and those with impaired lucose tolerance, in men and women, in all participating regions of the world (consisting of many ethnic groups), in patients of all ages, and in participants of varying weight and fat distribution. Participants with a higher body mass index or abdominal fat distribution who were allocated to receive rosiglatozone all had the same three to four percent per group incidence of the primary outcome, despite progressively higher rates in the corresponding control participants; this finding accounts for the observation of higher risk reduction with higher baseline obesity. Rosiglitaone therefore seems to reduce or eliminate the relation between increasing obesity and a higher risk of diabetes.

Funding Source:
Government: CIHR
Industry:
Sanofi-Aventis, Glaxo Smith Kline, King Pharmaceuticals
Pharmaceutical/Dietary Supplement Company:
Reviewer Comments:

Strengths of study include:

  • Large sample size
  • Blinded, randomized trial
  • Included men and women of varying ages, ethnic groups and regions of the world

Limitations may include:

  • the observation period may have been too short to draw reliable conclusions with regard to the cardiovascular effects of rosiglitazone
  • ? generalizability to adults younger than 30 years of age
Quality Criteria Checklist: Primary Research
Relevance Questions
  1. Would implementing the studied intervention or procedure (if found successful) result in improved outcomes for the patients/clients/population group? (Not Applicable for some epidemiological studies) Yes
  2. Did the authors study an outcome (dependent variable) or topic that the patients/clients/population group would care about? Yes
  3. Is the focus of the intervention or procedure (independent variable) or topic of study a common issue of concern to dieteticspractice? Yes
  4. Is the intervention or procedure feasible? (NA for some epidemiological studies) Yes
 
Validity Questions
1. Was the research question clearly stated? Yes
  1.1. Was (were) the specific intervention(s) or procedure(s) [independent variable(s)] identified? Yes
  1.2. Was (were) the outcome(s) [dependent variable(s)] clearly indicated? Yes
  1.3. Were the target population and setting specified? Yes
2. Was the selection of study subjects/patients free from bias? Yes
  2.1. Were inclusion/exclusion criteria specified (e.g., risk, point in disease progression, diagnostic or prognosis criteria), and with sufficient detail and without omitting criteria critical to the study? Yes
  2.2. Were criteria applied equally to all study groups? Yes
  2.3. Were health, demographics, and other characteristics of subjects described? Yes
  2.4. Were the subjects/patients a representative sample of the relevant population? Yes
3. Were study groups comparable? Yes
  3.1. Was the method of assigning subjects/patients to groups described and unbiased? (Method of randomization identified if RCT) Yes
  3.2. Were distribution of disease status, prognostic factors, and other factors (e.g., demographics) similar across study groups at baseline? Yes
  3.3. Were concurrent controls or comparisons used? (Concurrent preferred over historical control or comparison groups.) Yes
  3.4. If cohort study or cross-sectional study, were groups comparable on important confounding factors and/or were preexisting differences accounted for by using appropriate adjustments in statistical analysis? N/A
  3.5. If case control study, were potential confounding factors comparable for cases and controls? (If case series or trial with subjects serving as own control, this criterion is not applicable.) N/A
  3.6. If diagnostic test, was there an independent blind comparison with an appropriate reference standard (e.g., "gold standard")? N/A
4. Was method of handling withdrawals described? Yes
  4.1. Were follow-up methods described and the same for all groups? Yes
  4.2. Was the number, characteristics of withdrawals (i.e., dropouts, lost to follow up, attrition rate) and/or response rate (cross-sectional studies) described for each group? (Follow up goal for a strong study is 80%.) Yes
  4.3. Were all enrolled subjects/patients (in the original sample) accounted for? Yes
  4.4. Were reasons for withdrawals similar across groups? Yes
  4.5. If diagnostic test, was decision to perform reference test not dependent on results of test under study? N/A
5. Was blinding used to prevent introduction of bias? Yes
  5.1. In intervention study, were subjects, clinicians/practitioners, and investigators blinded to treatment group, as appropriate? Yes
  5.2. Were data collectors blinded for outcomes assessment? (If outcome is measured using an objective test, such as a lab value, this criterion is assumed to be met.) Yes
  5.3. In cohort study or cross-sectional study, were measurements of outcomes and risk factors blinded? N/A
  5.4. In case control study, was case definition explicit and case ascertainment not influenced by exposure status? N/A
  5.5. In diagnostic study, were test results blinded to patient history and other test results? N/A
6. Were intervention/therapeutic regimens/exposure factor or procedure and any comparison(s) described in detail? Were interveningfactors described? Yes
  6.1. In RCT or other intervention trial, were protocols described for all regimens studied? Yes
  6.2. In observational study, were interventions, study settings, and clinicians/provider described? N/A
  6.3. Was the intensity and duration of the intervention or exposure factor sufficient to produce a meaningful effect? ???
  6.4. Was the amount of exposure and, if relevant, subject/patient compliance measured? Yes
  6.5. Were co-interventions (e.g., ancillary treatments, other therapies) described? N/A
  6.6. Were extra or unplanned treatments described? Yes
  6.7. Was the information for 6.4, 6.5, and 6.6 assessed the same way for all groups? Yes
  6.8. In diagnostic study, were details of test administration and replication sufficient? N/A
7. Were outcomes clearly defined and the measurements valid and reliable? Yes
  7.1. Were primary and secondary endpoints described and relevant to the question? Yes
  7.2. Were nutrition measures appropriate to question and outcomes of concern? ???
  7.3. Was the period of follow-up long enough for important outcome(s) to occur? ???
  7.4. Were the observations and measurements based on standard, valid, and reliable data collection instruments/tests/procedures? Yes
  7.5. Was the measurement of effect at an appropriate level of precision? Yes
  7.6. Were other factors accounted for (measured) that could affect outcomes? Yes
  7.7. Were the measurements conducted consistently across groups? Yes
8. Was the statistical analysis appropriate for the study design and type of outcome indicators? Yes
  8.1. Were statistical analyses adequately described and the results reported appropriately? Yes
  8.2. Were correct statistical tests used and assumptions of test not violated? Yes
  8.3. Were statistics reported with levels of significance and/or confidence intervals? Yes
  8.4. Was "intent to treat" analysis of outcomes done (and as appropriate, was there an analysis of outcomes for those maximally exposed or a dose-response analysis)? Yes
  8.5. Were adequate adjustments made for effects of confounding factors that might have affected the outcomes (e.g., multivariate analyses)? Yes
  8.6. Was clinical significance as well as statistical significance reported? Yes
  8.7. If negative findings, was a power calculation reported to address type 2 error? Yes
9. Are conclusions supported by results with biases and limitations taken into consideration? Yes
  9.1. Is there a discussion of findings? Yes
  9.2. Are biases and study limitations identified and discussed? Yes
10. Is bias due to study's funding or sponsorship unlikely? Yes
  10.1. Were sources of funding and investigators' affiliations described? Yes
  10.2. Was the study free from apparent conflict of interest? Yes